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April 6, 2012
Match Preview: Why Aston Villa should beat Liverpool this weekend. #avfc #lfc

It’s a jovial time of year.  Chocolate eggs, smiling children and two glorious bank holidays.  So, trust Villa to have a vital fixture sandwiched amongst this, all primed and ready to put a massive downer on things.  However, whilst Villa go to Anfield in search of vital points towards guaranteeing Premiership status, our hosts are on arguably an even worse run of form.  Indeed, Liverpool’s six recent league defeats are particularly remarkable given the calibre of some who they have faced.

The Liverpool team that Villa will line up against have been defeated by Wigan, Q.P.R and Sunderland.  Poor to average sides at best it must be agreed.  Yes, Liverpool have a trophy in the cabinet having won the League Cup, but it is equally important to cast ones mind back to that day also.  Cardiff were beaten in the most frantic, desperate and unconvincing of terms. They are likely still trying to work out quite how they didn’t take the cup home themselves.

Villa should be staring long and hard at the current Liverpool team and have them circled as candidates for a very winnable fixture.  This is no Liverpool side of old, this is a mere shell of a former giant.  A huge club, there is not doubt, but Andy Carroll and Stewart Downing are not going to be winning Premier Leagues any time soon.  The less said about Henderson and Adam is probably for the best also.  Further, the much lauded Kenny Dalglish looks massively out of touch with the modern game in his attempts to deflect justified criticism of himself and those expensive purchases.  Villa should take full advantage of this delusion and disarray in the home ranks.

Also, Villa do not need to fear Liverpool, Suarez possibly aside, they carry no terrifying unstoppable threat.  Stifle the supply and our opponents often look bereft of ideas and the spark with which to unlock even the Cardiff’s of this world.  

However, Villa need to remember to take the game to teams before it is too late.  This was best shown at the Chelsea game.  The attributes are there, but it is down to individual players to take games by the scruff of the neck and make things happen.  I don’t buy the notion that McLeish sits any of the Villa players down and tells them to play negatively.  I do think that he has instructed them to not waste the ball, perhaps breeding an unpalatable culture of sideways and backwards passing.  This is where senior players need to be clever, attempting those important passes and having the confidence to carry the ball into the final third of the pitch.  Blindingly obvious to any fan but often less so to your average footballer; but then the likelihood of any candidates for Nobel prizes has always been somewhat limited in the profession.

A major barrier to Villa overcoming Liverpool could well be a team completely decimated by injury.  One need look no further than the bench versus Chelsea to underline the threadbare nature of the squad when sixteen year old boys are removed from boot cleaning duty to pull on a shirt potentially opposite Torres, Terry and co.  But, this is also the kind of game that those youth players frequently heralded as the future can establish themselves.  Only on the Premiership stage, in front of huge crowds, at iconic football stadia will the men be sorted from the boys.  We need to win matches, somebody needs to step forward and shoulder the burden.

And perhaps with fielding the boys comes the element of surprise.  What will Liverpool make of Nathan Baker, Gary Gardner, Chris Herd etc?  The latter two particularly look most likely to become seasoned Premier League players; games that need winning such as this Saturday are where they may prove this to be the case.  Also the likes of Bannan and Albrighton need to step up.  Bannan, despite his diminutive frame clearly has the skills (and the ego), but seemingly lacks the footballing brain with which to deploy them to regular good effect.  Albrighton has suffered from criminally indifferent form following an impressive first season.  His last appearance showed his best and worst in creating a goal, but also too many instances of wastefulness for a team in need of much more from its players.

Finally, it is also worth considering the impact that the news of Petrov’s terrible illness has had upon the club.  There were a couple of days prior to last weekends match where it was not unforeseeable that his absence could truly be checkmate for our season.  A genuine hammer blow to morale and mood in a camp in dire shortage of both.  But the atmosphere, guile and determination shown against Chelsea confirmed the opposite, Villa appeared galvanised by the news.  And whilst ultimately we were undone by superior opposition, the players showed enough to suggest that we will fight for every point ahead.  Liverpool on the other hand, do they have this desire in them?

Saturday will reveal all.

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April 5, 2012
Debunked: Joe Cole free transfer rumour. #avfc

Hot on the heels of our article discussing free transfer possibilities yesterday, the rumour mill has identified Joe Cole as a possible target for Villa this summer.  The suggestion is that Liverpool would be willing to release Cole for nothing at the end of the season following his inspired loan spell at Ligue 1 outfit Lille.

The real question has to be why Liverpool would release him for nothing?  Cole is contracted to Villa’s looming weekend opponents until June 2014 and his performances have courted interest from other European sides, not least the reinvigorated PSG.  Indeed, Cole’s stock has risen somewhat having sought to knuckle down and work to re-find his early career and pre-injury form.  This is to Cole’s credit, but is certainly not to Aston Villa’s advantage.

A further stumbling block would also be Joe Cole’s reported £90,000 a week wage.  As Villa are in a process of consolidating expenditure it would seem hard to justify or indeed reason that investing in Cole would be worthwhile.  On the other hand, with Heskey’s presumed release freeing up an estimated £50,000 per week, maybe room could be found to accommodate this in part?

Whilst Joe Cole would be welcome at Villa Park in the light of our midfield woes, the possibility of this happening seems highly unlikely.

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April 4, 2012
Summer Transfers: Free deals worth pursuing? #avfc

What with Carlos Cuellar, Brad Guzan and the mighty Emile Heskey poised to depart on free transfers at the end of the season, perhaps it’s time Villa looked to take advantage of some freebies?  Indeed the club are already looking to set adopt this strategy (see Brett Holman) in order that saved transfer fees can be put towards player salaries.

But who is up for grabs this year?  Who could Aston Villa, on the back of a poor overall season reasonably expect to attract?  Here are a few names to throw into the hat for discussion, all of whom are available on free transfers in summer 2012.  For the purposes of sanity, certain ageing stars (Drogba, 34 & Ballack, 35 etc) and players out of our scope (Adebeyor, Berbatov, Farfan etc) have not been included:

Nicklas Bendtner - Currently on loan at Sunderland from Arsenal whom he has declared he will never played for again.  A powerful young forward (24) with undeniable talent, but who’s brash confidence to date could easily leave him branded arrogant.  Any club looking to secure his services will need to offset an ego against the potential for a very potent top flight striker.  Whilst there is a decent striker in there, it is also reasonable to assume that he will demand top wages also.  Would he be worth the investment or the hassle?

Hugo Rodallega - A player who impresses from afar but whom can equally frustrate his own sides supporters through indifferent performances and alleged anonymity during games.  However, Rodellega is arguably a fine player lost in a hard working but ultimately poor Wigan side.  Technically very gifted and with Premier League experience, perhaps Hugo on a freebie to bolster the Villa attack would be a justified gamble?

Pavel Pogrebnyak - At 28 the imposing Russian has emerged onto the Premier League scene with an impressive start to his Fulham career.  Powerful and a proven goalscorer at both domestic and European level (St. Petersburg) he is available for nothing this summer following a disappointing spell in the Bundesliga with Stuttgart.  Villa’s biggest problem might be that he has better offers following decent early showings at Craven Cottage.

Tranquillo Barnetta - This 26 year old Swiss international midfielder is currently plying his trade at Bayer Leverkusan.  Strongly linked with Newcastle last season he would offer a creative edge to the side being happy operating as a winger.  However, he is adaptable and can play a deeper holding role if required.  Acquiring a player of Barnetta’s quality would likely be hard work, but he has already demonstrated an interest in possible moves to Premiership teams who are not necessarily challenging for honours.

Hedwiges Maduro - Former Ajax youngster currently plying his trade at Valencia in Spain, securing Maduro’s services would indeed be a coup.  However, not beyond the realms of possibility as whilst he has been a consistent performer he has not reached the heights that a top European club demands.  This is not to say that Maduro is a bad player, more that he has been deployed across the back four much in the manner that Carlos Cuellar has to date.  Maduro would bring experience and much needed versatility to the Aston Villa defence, as well as perhaps a point to prove!

Pau Cendros Lopez - A 23 year old defender who currently plays for RCD Mallorca and has broken into the team following numerous loan spells throughout his youth development.  His availability on a free can only be described as a bargain, particularly as he would come fully developed to La Liga standard and would offer something else into an otherwise abject Villa defence.  The likelihood is that Cendros is on the radar of a number of European clubs of similar calibre to Villa, so any moves would need to be hasty.

Michele Canini - A solid and straightforward central defender soon to be out of contract with Serie A outfit Cagliari.  With Villa needing some measure of stability at centre half, and an alternative to throwing the kids in, Canini at 26 would offer something more assured.  The player has however been courting interest from AS Roma since January 2012, thus the ship could well have already sailed.

Lasse Schone - An exciting attacking right footed midfielder currently playing for NEC in the Netherlands.  A late developer (25) it is only in the most recent seasons has his career emerged from the wilderness.  Following a successful promotion with De Graafshap he was purchased by NEC and has since gone on to make his full international debut for Denmark (scoring) against Chile.  Interestingly Schone has expressed a desire to move to pastures new and has already rebutted Feyenoord.  Schone’s services would be very welcome at Villa Park - and all for the cost of his wages.

Discuss! 

Comment below or on Twitter @avfc_vilr

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March 4, 2012
Aston Villa: It’s time to be honest. #avfc

The writing has slowed at Vilr Towers of late. This is because the writer ponders the words that you take the time to read, never rushing for fear of publishing on a whim. Great willpower is used in resisting the urge to vent, searching for the positives or at the very least looking at the bigger picture. The latter being something that we as football fans are as guilty as any of remembering to apply when voicing our opinions.

It would be improper, indeed, delusional to suggest that all is well at Villa Park as we approach the latter stages of the season. This has seen Alex McLeish come in for some reasonable criticism of late. Reasonable because there have been occasions where his selections have been at odds with our current teams ability, the opposition we have faced or the erratic (arguably abject) form of some of our key players.

However, this blog firmly backs our current manager Alex McLeish. This is not because he is doing a fantastic job; he must try harder to get the very best out of some very talented players. This backing is because he is largely in the position he is because of two glaring factors. We do not have the funds to compete with the top clubs in the Premier League and we must repair the devastation still being afflicted to our bank balance from endeavouring to break into the Champions League in the Martin O’Neill era.

This is not to say that one should be happy with the current situation we find ourselves in, but we are in it. There is no sense and no benefit that can be gained from constantly voicing our disapproval at who is currently managing Aston Villa Football Club. It makes our football club’s supporters appear completely out of touch with reality. Alex McLeish is the man charged with steering the ship through what could turn out to be incredibly testing financial waters. It is surely wise to offer the man some encouragement?

Retaining some objectivity is key to making sense of our present slide. The Blackburn game is as good an example of any this season of the problems, so let us look there.

The game featured glaring missed chances. Paul Robinson is being touted as being a challenger for the number 1 jersey for England following our trip to town! World class goalkeeping? Rather, decent saves from otherwise golden, glaring opportunities. This is not confined to the Blackburn game, our wastefulness in front of goal for the entire season has been nothing short of criminal. For this, it is only plausible to hold individual players to account for their misses, not the manager.

The inability to cope with set pieces. Blackburns equaliser came through the entirely predictable set piece scenario. Our defending continues to be error strewn, casual and at times completely unprofessional. This is not something that can be levelled necessarily at our manager, rather our millionaire defenders who have consistently underperformed. Professional footballers who go to pieces at any and every ball into the penalty area? Unacceptable.

The question is how to rectify a squad of average / coasting professional footballers? One imagines that’s difficult to address at the best of times without having to worry how to fund competent replacements. Herein lies the problem. Aston Villa have sold their best, most creative and most threatening players. This has resulted in the remnants of the O’Neill experiment, the Houllier patch up job and the hasty dealings of Alex McLeish. It really has left Villa unbalanced with a mix of inexperienced youth, aging stars, average Joes and unpredictable individual temperaments.

Indeed, the only person at any risk of the chop is the guy who’s supposed to make this into a winning unit each weekend. So, is this of any surprise to those of us still sane enough to try to work out the next step?

Predicting a next step for Aston Villa is like trading shares with Carson Yeung; risky business. The reason for this is because there are so many variables now that football and business have fused together. It is difficult to interpret where football results and business forecasts relate to one another. Fortunately as fans we try to ignore reality and merely shouting “Off with his head!” seems to suffice if there isn’t a victory. But thinking of the bigger picture, football has changed so much, that chopping managers does little in the modern game to alter anything that really irks us as supporters.

No new manager could swoop for the silky playmaker we all crave. Nor could he resolve the volume of the Villa Park tannoy. He will be handed the same players and remit that Alex McLeish is likely regretting agreeing too. Which brings us neatly to Randy Lerner.

For it seems that Randy, for all of the clever PR moves, got in way over his head financially with Aston Villa. It is clear, painfully clear, that the financial management at the football club entirely disregarded the prospect of the club not winning a single thing. An astonishing fact for an apparently diligent businessman who surrounds himself with presumably very intelligent, knowledgeable folk, to advise him on appropriate courses of action.

Therefore we find ourselves with impressive turnover with staggering losses largely attributed to our player costs. We adopted the McDonalds model, serving up delicious tasty burgers that no-one could resist, but we foolishly agreed to pay our average tossers a fortune for the privilege. The example is crude, but you get the picture.

It is therefore time to be honest. Realistic as well.

Our great football club finds itself drawing with absolute relegation fodder in the shape of Wigan and Blackburn. Two teams so bad that we will likely draw three quarters of our league games and remain ten points clear of danger. Indeed, it’s amazing we lie 15th in the form table. In another season, where there was the hint that someone below us could muster a win there would be cause for concern. As it stands, we will probably set our lowest points total and live in complete denial that this year ever existed. This is depressing and it might be something that we will have to get used to.

This honesty needs to extend to our transfer policy. It will not be glamorous, excite the fans or make transfer windows much fun, but the club needs to go into overdrive producing talent from the academy. There can be no more repeats of Djemba-Djemba, no more painful “prising” of the N’Zogbia’s from the Wigan’s of this world. There are surely, surely, 11 kids within 50 miles of Villa Park who can play as well as the current squad given the best coaching and facilities money can buy. That money would likely be a fraction of that spent on players and agents with no attachment to our great club. For the survival of our football club in the modern era we need to become more realistic about our options, starting with making a genuine attempt to recruit and develop Premiership footballers for the sole purpose of bettering Aston Villa. Sustaining is a good first step, but bettering, that has to be the objective, as to date the products of our system have either been promising or distinctly average at best.

The club also needs to redefine the vision. The honeymoon period for Lerner is obviously a distant memory and we have a vision that sits completely at odds with what we are actually doing and can reasonably hope to achieve. A realistic vision, with attainable goals would do a great deal to restore some credibility for the owner and give any current or future manager an achievable target to be measured against. A reasonable goal would be to win the League Cup, ludicrously derided by many who think we should be winning European Cups still. The trophy cabinet at Aston Villa is a wondrous tale of footballing dominance, it is a disgrace that it has not been added to in recent years; a League Cup should be our first principle aim at the beginning of next season.

A major problem we face, as a number of clubs, will be the apathy of supporters. The golden years of multi-million pound signings, outrageous contracts and the hope of imminent glory are gone. There are many reasons for this, but as fans we should remember why we go to watch our club. The purpose is not to deride our manager at every opportunity, delude ourselves into believing we are world beaters but simply backing the club as it evolves each Saturday at 3pm. And only with our support will it evolve into something that we want, but without it, it will become a soulless and meaningless entity.

Our biggest influence, our collective voice, should be heard. The opinion of everyone is there to be heard, but a pedestal should never be abused to voice a personal opinion as that of the majority. And many prominent Aston Villa voices can be heard dissenting in print and web media; an action that does nothing to enhance the reputation or help advance the club they allegedly “support” in any way.

So if you have read this far, I offer my sincere thanks for your time. I can also promise to be on the Holte End through thin and thinner, supporting our team, with the firm belief that with a common purpose, a reality check and some reasonable goals, Aston Villa will be the greatest football team in the the land once more.

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December 16, 2011
Stewart Downing. No Goals, No Assists, No Good? #avfc #lfc

Regardless of what one might have thought, Villa selling Stewart Downing to Liverpool for £20 Million (2011 summer transfer window) still felt like reasonably good business at the time.  A few months down the line, Downing has produced literally none of the glimpses of talent Villa fans witnessed for his new employers at Anfield.  It now feels like even better business.  But there is a reason for this.

15 games into his Liverpool career Downing has produced nothing.  Not so much as an own goal.  His form is appearing as elusive as the Higgs Boson particle.  Indeed, if Andy Carroll hadn’t been unbelievably signed for £35 million he could be called the most expensive flop.  Downings not even capable of that right now.  His luck truly is out.  He even can’t win in the worst haircut stakes.

When you really sit down and think it’s a genuine puzzle to work out quite why he has had such faith invested in him.  Upon joining Villa from Middlesborough following their relegation three seasons ago Downing endured a torrid first year at the club.  Having missed pre-season (due to injury) and the initial fixtures he struggled to find his feet - leaving many to wonder quite why then manager Martin O’Neill had thrown £12m at everyone’s favourite England winger.  But the fact was he was quite literally that inconsistent, uninspiring and largely average in his play.  His intial showings at the club could be defined as being an extended groan with moderate booing thrown in for good measure.

For this is the problem.  Downing is a bit decidedly average and really a bit of a fan joke.  This isn’t meant nastily, I’m sure that he’s a lovely bloke.  One imagines he always says hello to his neighbours, sends his mom flowers, makes jam at the weekend and owns a Prius.  But facts are facts.  He’s the type of player who makes your eyes roll when seen him warming up during a crucial England match.  Mr. Average Joe might help you to 6th, he’ll try really hard, but he’s not going to be lifting any World Cups anytime soon. 

There’s the problem Liverpool will have, with their loftier ambitions.  Man City have Nasri, David Silva - Chelsea have Juan Mata, Man United have Young/Nani/Valencia, Tottenham have Van Der Vaart, Lennon, Liverpool have….Stewart Downing.  Hardly comparable.  And take it from Villa fans, this is as good as it’s going to get - and you’re going no higher with Teesides most famous export.

But there are pros.

Stewart Downing does offer an intelligence, and definitely added a footballing mind to Villa’s play that was complimentary to that of the raw natural talent that Ashley Young possessed.  At face value it looked very much like a two pronged dynamic attack, but when one thinks back, it’s scary how few matches that Downing impacted upon.  Downing was able to contribute in a successful team, but fell woefully short if required to influence or change a game.  He does not possess the knack of being the catalyst when faced with a tricky fixture. In short, he was a classic: 1 great game, 4 immediately forgettable games, type of player.  Intelligent he might be, but a world class, top four winner in the worlds best league?  No.  Whilst Wayne Rooney will not be winning a Turner Prize anytime soon, he’s a superb footballer, a winner.  Intelligence, whilst desirable, certainly isn’t everything on the football pitch it would appear.

Therefore it is with a wry smile that one reads about Downing’s return to Villa Park this Sunday.  He will likely arrive, score a hat-trick and set up three more to sour the purpose of this piece (payback can indeed be a b*tch), but that would do little to confirm anything about Villa’s back line than was already known.  But having said that, it would be a shock if he were that hard to contain.

That is because, and this is in all seriousness, I would be surprised if Villa feared Downing.  Keeping him quiet is as difficult as keeping him wide; being armed with indifferent crossing and stifling his desire to cut in always seemed to result in a non-performance.  And it is the non-performance that would be very concerning if I were a Liverpool fan.  Because it is not desire, keenness or thoughtful play that Downing lacks - it is the cutting edge and quality to make the unexpected happen.  And for £20 million pounds, I would want some of the latter.

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